No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $222
- User PnL
- -$161.2
Polymarket Trader
zzzwwwttt
0x1a538a683738d94a2a9ba99693582f09075e3ec4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $348.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127
- Potential profit
- $127
- User PnL
- -$9.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$17.4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$61.91
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$26.02
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$27.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$32.23
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.01
- Potential profit
- $9.01
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $26.83
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.94
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.45
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 81% 139.02 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 77% 28 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.7% 55 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 85% 63 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 80% 8 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.5% 1 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 30.6% 4.8 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 80% 0.66 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No 98.8% 0.8 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 84% 1 shares
- State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?No 95.3% 0.84 shares