Polymarket Trader

Extrance

@mvpoker

0x1a5c8a47c6779b04e28215c53c34997339a1dad1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.25
Realized PnL: $131.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.84
Potential profit: $28.84
User PnL: -$9.52

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.62
Potential profit: $13.62
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.71
Potential profit: $11.71
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.68
Potential profit: $11.68
User PnL: -$4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.92
Potential profit: $9.92
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.83
Potential profit: $9.83
User PnL: -$4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.46
Potential profit: $9.46
User PnL: -$4.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46
Potential profit: $4.46
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

FC Bayern München leading at halftime?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

Hapoel Tel Aviv position

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Under position

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $4.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 29.76 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 99.9% 19.48 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

France 99.9% 0.11 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

France 99.9% 10 shares
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

France 89% 10.11 shares
Spread: France (-1.5) AND France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND France leading at halftime?

51% 9.65 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 19.48 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 45% 13.33 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Norway to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?

20.9% 4.64 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 34% 2.22 shares