No position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $97.84
- Potential payout
- $98.93
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
1eth10ksoon
0x1a6298b9ac9f8de066550757ebf0d9f586303a40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $329.55
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.2%
- Current value
- $18.82
- Potential payout
- $71.96
- Potential profit
- $53.14
- Multiplier
- 3.82x
- User PnL
- $16.97
Yes position
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $14.94
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $45.06
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- $10.14
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $27.26
- Potential payout
- $57.39
- Potential profit
- $30.13
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $40.96
- Potential payout
- $41.27
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $39.85
- Potential profit
- $37.88
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $35.11
- Potential payout
- $35.92
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $30.65
- Potential payout
- $30.85
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $22.85
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.01
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Yes position
Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Yes position
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Michigan rally?
Ends Oct 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Will Berachain launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Crawford position
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Trump launch a blockchain before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "debate" during Michigan rally?
Ends Oct 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic CEO arrested?No 99.5% 30.85 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?No 99.3% 98.93 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.9% 35.92 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 98.9% 23 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 50 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 96.3% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 98.3% 18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 98.6% 16 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No 98.4% 57 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?No 95.8% 35 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 47% 7.39 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No 84% 18 shares