Polymarket Trader

cigoL-Deepseek

0x1a68258dfbcdada47b069099ded59b6e7b0833bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.22
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.18
Potential profit: $118.18
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $15.27
Potential payout: $72.73
Potential profit: $57.45
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.33
Potential profit: $58.33
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $26.37
Potential payout: $48.39
Potential profit: $22.02
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $11.37

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.93
Potential profit: $30.93
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.21
Potential profit: $25.21
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $11.46
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$3.54

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.3
Potential profit: $20.3
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.94
Potential profit: $18.94
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.6
Potential profit: $18.6
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.91
Potential profit: $17.91
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $17.44
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76
Potential profit: $14.76
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.85

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.75

Bruins position

Bruins vs. Islanders

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.44

Vikings position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.17

Stars position

Stars vs. Canadiens

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.47

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.78

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.97

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.95

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.39

No position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $31.65

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.53

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.85

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

No 20.6% 72.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 59% 25.42 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 86% 46.87 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 75% 38.46 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 32% 46.88 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

No 70% 21.43 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 39% 38.46 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

No 93.8% 49.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 49% 24.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 60% 20 shares
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

No 31% 48.39 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 66% 22.73 shares