Polymarket Trader

punter123

0x1a860ea049d1c09e15e90a2b2a65944fa91a0a3f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.47K
Realized PnL: $150.6
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $134.29
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $179.93

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.73
Potential profit: $221.73
User PnL: -$38.75

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $23.56
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$3.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.27

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Stephen A. Smith announce Presidential run in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 950-999 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 1000 or more times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 77% 296.36 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 77.7% 97.9 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 81% 657.4 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 81% 423.02 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 16.7 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 88.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Up 67% 1.47 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 80% 25 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?

Yes 34% 9.79 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Yes 15% 166.73 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Yes 35% 142.86 shares
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Yes 13% 333.69 shares