Yes position
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Polymarket Trader
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023
0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.69
- Realized PnL
- $16.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $31.64K
- Potential profit
- $31.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $28.07K
- Potential profit
- $28.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$988.3
Yes position
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.9K
- Potential profit
- $18.9K
- User PnL
- -$286.35
Yes position
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.88K
- Potential profit
- $18.88K
- User PnL
- -$286.05
Yes position
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.84K
- Potential profit
- $18.84K
- User PnL
- -$285.37
Yes position
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.54K
- Potential profit
- $18.54K
- User PnL
- -$280.83
Yes position
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.54K
- Potential profit
- $18.54K
- User PnL
- -$280.83
Yes position
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.09K
- Potential profit
- $18.09K
- User PnL
- -$274.02
Yes position
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Kim Han-koo win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Yoo Young-ha win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Seo Jae-heon win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Choi Eun-seok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Yoon Jae-ok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will Hong Seok-jun win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $17.15K
- User PnL
- -$612.53
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Yes position
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.83K
- User PnL
- -$494.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $928.67
No position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $921.72
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.33
No position
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $634.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $631.33
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.19
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $585
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.89
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.59
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $512.91
No position
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $447.09
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.58
No position
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $363.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $352.89
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.62
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $273.91
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.29
No position
Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.91
Yes position
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.22
No position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $264.63
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $249.48
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.68
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.47
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $228.12
No position
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.23
No position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $203.24
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $188.5
N
No position
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.26
No position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $167.18
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.87
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $133.92
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $129.08
No position
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.39
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.7
No position
between 41 and 43 million views
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.08
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.06
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?No 55.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?No 76% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?No 49% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 17?No 98.9% 3.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?No 10% 1.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 17?Yes 1.4% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?No 98.8% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 17?Yes 49% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Yes 89.9% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 17?No 99.2% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 17?Yes 0.4% 22.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?Yes 29.4% 20 shares