Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
0x1Ac0784eE03Bf18C297f034921c94338A2CcBE8c-1775033856634
0x1ac0784ee03bf18c297f034921c94338a2ccbe8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $114.15
- Realized PnL
- $135.14
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$116.34
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$95.2
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $23.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $56.4
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $16.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $53.55
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.6
No position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 9% 52.13 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 22% 60 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 20% 30 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes 33% 30 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?Yes 54% 20 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 87% 20 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 22.7% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 100 shares
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No 0.5% 140 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 59.5% 4.91 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 55% 20.27 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No 63% 95 shares