Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Polymarket Trader
0x1aD238e5094c8A71B1B2BA976e4A7cc059eB2579-1769420200337
0x1ad238e5094c8a71b1b2ba976e4a7cc059eb2579
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.93
- Realized PnL
- $101.33
- Win rate
- 52.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3.5m and 4m?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.72
- Potential profit
- $350.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 4m and 4.5m?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.66
- Potential profit
- $292.66
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.98
- Potential profit
- $249.98
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.74
- Potential profit
- $207.74
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.37
- Potential profit
- $181.37
- User PnL
- -$21.73
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.87
- Potential profit
- $166.87
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $39.44
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.05
Yes position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $44.44
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $39.25
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $36.46
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.03
- Potential profit
- $32.03
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.03
- Potential profit
- $31.03
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.89
- Potential profit
- $25.89
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $18.69
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $12.02
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $4.11
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.17
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
Slovakia position
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Copper (HG) settle over $5.40 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 99% 10.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 23% 21.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETDown 49% 10.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 52% 9.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 11.2% 17.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 29% 17.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETDown 35% 14.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp 20% 38.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 80.8% 13.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp 13.1% 38.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETDown 37% 13.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 2% 249.98 shares