Polymarket Trader

0x1ad72f200E0EfadbC04914c20c6bA9cE16bCeAC6-1772643923730

0x1ad72f200e0efadbc04914c20c6ba9ce16bceac6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.19K
Realized PnL: $27.1
Win rate: 65%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $226.8
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $190.72

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

No position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.74
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.77
Potential profit: $41.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.1
Potential profit: $27.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.23
Potential profit: $16.23
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$9.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.96
Potential profit: $9.96
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $4.15
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.2
Potential profit: $3.2
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.82
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74
Potential profit: $2.74
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

No position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8% 125 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 20% 49.96 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 100 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 36.9% 27.1 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 61.6% 16.23 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 100 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Yes 45% 33.33 shares
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

No 83% 12.19 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 47.9% 41.77 shares
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 60% 25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up 70% 8.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up 75% 1.32 shares