Polymarket Trader

Carcharadon

0x1af341dc5bcd5aade7d80c60ac4644fe42ecb80f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.17
Realized PnL: $269.52
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $10.31K
User PnL: -$10.31

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $890
Potential profit: $890
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.13
Potential profit: $209.13
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.36
Potential profit: $96.36
User PnL: -$40.4

No position

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $35.47
Potential payout: $52.54
Potential profit: $17.08
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.46
Potential profit: $45.46
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.56

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.99

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.28

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.26

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $10.13

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.13

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.98

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.34

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.1%
Multiplier: 1.88x
User PnL: $2.87

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?

Yes 45.5% 32.05 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?

Yes 39% 32.05 shares
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?

No 53% 20 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 61.7% 13.59 shares
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

No 67.2% 52.54 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

No 73.1% 13.59 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 38% 97.68 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

No 57% 18 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 45.4% 97.69 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

No 48.7% 18 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 30% 5.26 shares
Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?

No 43% 12.5 shares