Polymarket Trader

icantbreathe

0x1af522b95ad970be780a2b503800ba7265d389ba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66K
Realized PnL: $7.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.44K

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $468.81
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$572

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $551.92
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $248.08
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$96.08

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $707.37
Potential profit: $707.37
User PnL: -$470.55

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.12
Potential profit: $549.12
User PnL: -$29.93

No position

Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $462.59
Potential payout: $497.41
Potential profit: $34.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $87.39

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.98
Potential profit: $459.98
User PnL: -$59.8

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$19.95

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.65
Potential profit: $217.65
User PnL: -$97.06

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6.1

No position

UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $1.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.39K

No position

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $755.88

No position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.76

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.75

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.13

No position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.45

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.19

Yes position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.6

No position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.69

Yes position

Will Chainlink dip to $15 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.16

No position

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.01

No position

Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.29

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.53

No position

Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178

Yes position

Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $177.51

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.99

No position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.48

No position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $163.06

No position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.05

No position

Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142

No position

Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.21

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $132.34

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.88

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 20.17 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 748 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 82% 32.18 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 49.1% 529.74 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 45% 45.11 shares
Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

No 97.2% 559.11 shares
Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

No 96.9% 319.88 shares
Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

No 90.8% 220.23 shares
Will edgeX dip to $0.40 before 2027?

Yes 95.1% 52.6 shares
Will edgeX dip to $0.60 before 2027?

Yes 97.8% 102.23 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 68% 69.12 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 81.5% 306.86 shares