Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Victory999
0x1b05a9da6018ee922332b38f704272511c9eea7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $46.41
- Potential payout
- $947.24
- Potential profit
- $900.83
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $46.41
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $815.36
- Potential profit
- $815.36
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $783.57
- Potential profit
- $783.57
- User PnL
- -$46.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $703.03
- Potential profit
- $703.03
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $656.4
- Potential profit
- $656.4
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368.77
- Potential profit
- $368.77
- User PnL
- -$66.54
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.69
- Potential profit
- $364.69
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $23.21
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $333.93
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$26.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$61.9
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.48
- Potential profit
- $306.48
- User PnL
- -$15.55
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $39.17
- Potential payout
- $282.81
- Potential profit
- $243.64
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $39.17
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.39
- Potential profit
- $257.39
- User PnL
- -$33.46
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $231.11
- Potential profit
- $216.09
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.64
- Potential profit
- $221.64
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $187.87
- Potential profit
- $167.2
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.81
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $169.69
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.74
- Potential profit
- $185.74
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.52
- Potential profit
- $169.52
- User PnL
- -$48.57
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.99
- Potential profit
- $115.99
- User PnL
- -$21.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $220.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.65
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.58
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.66
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.78
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.29
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.21
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.67
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.54
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $18.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $14.11
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 282.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 606 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 57% 140 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 341.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 36% 111.11 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 34% 108 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 47% 120 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 1.1% 1,982.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 25% 130 shares
- Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 35% 35.89 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?No 18% 100 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No 25% 50 shares