zenmind

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.53

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$65.76

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $799.95
Potential profit: $799.95
User PnL: -$167.53

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.51
Potential payout: $297.07
Potential profit: $287.56
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$2.09

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.98
Potential profit: $230.98
User PnL: -$35.2

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187
Potential profit: $187
User PnL: -$7.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $99.37
Potential payout: $107.43
Potential profit: $8.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.14
Potential profit: $100.14
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $9.52
Potential payout: $91.08
Potential profit: $81.56
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$4.82

No position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $61.12
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $13.88
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.94
Potential profit: $47.94
User PnL: -$31.37

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.45
Potential profit: $47.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $27.33
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $27.05
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.63
Potential profit: $16.63
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $11.35
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $903.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.08

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.87

Oh My God position

LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3)

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?