Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- User PnL
- -$104.22
Polymarket Trader
ethdragonfire
0x1b110b28f6775d9689cc91b4f9f91e317434ce49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.56K
- Potential profit
- $9.56K
- User PnL
- -$38.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$127.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$137.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$135.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$70.24
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$133.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$141.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$130.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$120.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$36.16
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$78.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $11m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $12m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $886.13
- Potential profit
- $886.13
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $603.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 13% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp 30% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 4.1% 241.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp 36% 27.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown 55% 18.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp 7% 142.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 24% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETDown 15% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETUp 6% 16.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown 39% 2.56 shares