Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2
Polymarket Trader
hi-im-luish
0x1b1e733b355e3f328376e55a52b1f38b153d7854
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $528.71
- Realized PnL
- $362.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $167.36
- Potential payout
- $167.44
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $11.37
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $97.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $66.18
- Potential payout
- $90.04
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $31.07
- Potential payout
- $36.77
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.45
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.1
Sinner position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.57
Yes position
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.1
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Alcaraz position
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.49
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Optimism win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will SEED Latam win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Aave win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Bungee win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Uniswap Labs win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will Crecimiento win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 94% 68.01 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?No 92.4% 69.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 28.8% 36.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 200 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 68.8% 40.04 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 80% 12 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 80% 24.77 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes 82% 75.8 shares
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes 96.5% 220.5 shares
- Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?Yes 96.2% 78.36 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes 83% 347.18 shares
- Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?Yes 5.7% 200 shares