KBcat9

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $33.81
Potential profit: $32.1
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.96
Potential profit: $30.96
User PnL: -$12.69

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chainlink hit $21 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.94
Potential profit: $20.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana reach $190 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.99
Potential profit: $18.99
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.09
Potential profit: $11.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$0.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.6
Potential profit: $9.6
User PnL: -$1.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.31
Potential profit: $8.31
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.08
Potential profit: $8.08
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44
Potential profit: $3.44
User PnL: -$1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will KP Sharma Oli be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?