No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Polymarket Trader
Niamh581
0x1b2208df8dca961d44893b3a8f20c481f49fe36e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.83
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will XRP dip to $2.0 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.9% 33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 88% 42 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 143 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.9% 42 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 16% 31 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 13 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 39 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 94% 38 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 32% 42 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 93.5% 23 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 89.4% 4 shares