No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $899.01
- Potential payout
- $993.38
- Potential profit
- $94.37
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $65.17
Polymarket Trader
frak7
0x1b25122eaa79c9f9bdfe1bbddf61947282ca0e9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $966.17
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $38.15
- Potential payout
- $857.37
- Potential profit
- $819.22
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $65.74
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$19.74
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 39.5% 76 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 5.8% 857.37 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 59.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 820.81 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 112.8 shares