Polymarket Trader

rugmaster2000

0x1b2c63b3e9dc2d552904d940705e990a6c5df03f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.47K
Realized PnL: $19.63K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.05K
Potential profit: $39.05K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $513.45
Potential payout: $25.05K
Potential profit: $24.53K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.93K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.42K
Potential profit: $20.42K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $407.14
Potential payout: $11.8K
Potential profit: $11.39K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $17.71

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.3K
Potential profit: $11.3K
User PnL: -$3.05K

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $10.79K
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74K
Potential profit: $10.74K
User PnL: -$1.88K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.35K
Potential profit: $8.35K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $456.86
Potential payout: $8.31K
Potential profit: $7.85K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$743.14

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $229.31
Potential payout: $6.37K
Potential profit: $6.14K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$170.68

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $4.05K
User PnL: -$261.63

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $148.1
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$101.9

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $463.82
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$36.17

Yes position

Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $300.29
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$199.7

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $916.13
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $880.2
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $416.13

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $908.24
Potential profit: $908.24
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $12.74
Potential payout: $424.82
Potential profit: $412.08
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$87.26

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28K

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 11,801.21 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

No 5.5% 908.24 shares
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.5% 424.82 shares
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30.3% 330.47 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

No 18% 277.78 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 40% 250 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 60% 166.67 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 39% 256.41 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 27% 370.37 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 70% 428.57 shares