No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $116.22
- Potential payout
- $120.5
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $55.97
Polymarket Trader
0x1b536e4dcAf495Da10396f88dc1C7368467e5481-1768357312693
0x1b536e4dcaf495da10396f88dc1c7368467e5481
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.49
- Realized PnL
- $17.21
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $120.5
- Potential profit
- $116.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$55.98
No position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Knicks position
Hawks vs. Knicks
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
XRP Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Down position
XRP Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
XRP Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks 67% 2.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp 71% 1.53 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 49% 4.25 shares
- XRP Up or Down on March 31?Down 76% 1.97 shares
- XRP Up or Down on March 31?Up 27% 5.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?Up 76% 2.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?Up 74% 1.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.5% 5,444.21 shares
- XRP Up or Down on March 5?Down 77% 1.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.6% 5,444.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?Down 67% 5.6 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No 99.7% 21.58 shares