Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.1
- Potential profit
- $63.1
- User PnL
- -$53
Polymarket Trader
Mistmer
0x1b554ff353341a34264b96805e0de25553f8fe84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.74
- Realized PnL
- $11.63
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.14
- Potential profit
- $21.14
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $15.74
- Potential payout
- $16.63
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$16.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 16.63 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 97.7% 56.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 84% 63.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 45% 55.56 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes 57.6% 145.34 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Yes 69% 145.35 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 79% 130.13 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 83% 130.12 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 67% 164.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 68.5% 164.4 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?No 98.8% 6.21 shares