Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $11K
- Potential payout
- $178.84K
- Potential profit
- $167.84K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $1K
Polymarket Trader
0x1b6F81A9fee2aC02223bcCe103d766a4e407bdfd-1772215177350
0x1b6f81a9fee2ac02223bcce103d766a4e407bdfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.31K
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.72K
- Potential payout
- $177.94K
- Potential profit
- $173.22K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.51K
- Potential profit
- $125.51K
- User PnL
- -$2.7K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $12.28K
- Potential payout
- $104.5K
- Potential profit
- $92.23K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $90.91K
- Potential profit
- $89.5K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$590.82
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $6.54K
- Potential payout
- $88.97K
- Potential profit
- $82.44K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.46K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.96K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $78.04K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $74.63K
- Potential profit
- $70.04K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$410.37
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $11.46K
- Potential payout
- $62.11K
- Potential profit
- $50.65K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $8.13K
- Potential payout
- $59.56K
- Potential profit
- $51.43K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.87K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $48.78K
- Potential profit
- $46.85K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$73.12
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $18.35K
- Potential profit
- $16.05K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $302.77
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- User PnL
- -$199.99
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $684.24
- Potential profit
- $684.24
- User PnL
- -$295.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.23
- Potential profit
- $571.23
- User PnL
- -$198.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.15
- Potential profit
- $481.15
- User PnL
- -$49.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $415.74
- Potential profit
- $415.74
- User PnL
- -$196.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.26
- Potential profit
- $333.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.55
- Potential profit
- $231.55
- User PnL
- -$98.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.82
- Potential profit
- $179.82
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.3
- Potential profit
- $158.3
- User PnL
- -$49.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 74,626.87 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.3% 115,444.06 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 84,568.4 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 48% 35.42 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 64% 17.19 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 98% 5.1 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2% 57.14 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 7% 57.14 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 52% 51.92 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 62,494.64 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 18,348.62 shares