No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $97.16
- Potential payout
- $498.24
- Potential profit
- $401.08
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Polymarket Trader
Taylis
0x1b7c25a160065aaa928f9eb0e929809e512320a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $893.14
- Realized PnL
- $912.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $106.3
- Potential payout
- $191.53
- Potential profit
- $85.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $99.06
- Potential payout
- $161.08
- Potential profit
- $62.02
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $103.05
- Potential payout
- $157.32
- Potential profit
- $54.28
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $33.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $88.96
- Potential payout
- $149.52
- Potential profit
- $60.56
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $90.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $52.14
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $99.22
- Potential payout
- $135.92
- Potential profit
- $36.7
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $21.23
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.94
- Potential profit
- $120.94
- User PnL
- -$67
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $96.64
- Potential payout
- $117.85
- Potential profit
- $21.21
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $26.64
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $87.3
- Potential payout
- $102.1
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $27.3
No position
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $24.73
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $121.17
Yes position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.07
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $79.1
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $77.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.81
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $33.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.28
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.76
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.7
Yes position
Armenia agrees to establish Zangezur Corridor in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.15
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.03
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.3
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.44
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No 74% 24.32 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64% 15.63 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 63% 15.87 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 60% 16.67 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 63% 126.98 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 55% 145.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 97.5% 222.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 35.09 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 20% 59.47 shares