Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.75
Polymarket Trader
0x1B8838C33a22D7b787d2FFeBB7cC5A104d3ea191-1776602334499
0x1b8838c33a22d7b787d2ffebb7cc5a104d3ea191
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $123.2
- Realized PnL
- $46.87
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.95
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $24.42
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $19.58
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $22.98
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $34.3
- Potential profit
- $33.87
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.39
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $10.9
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
N
No position
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $12.34
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $11.98
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.81
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.27
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $4.22
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.1
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 5.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 5.99 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.5% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 3.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 9.43 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 56% 1.79 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No 84% 5.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 82% 6.1 shares