Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.75
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
0x1b8a3b7Fe9A56E5B3d88bd6578Af327C1e06806f-1776075421606
0x1b8a3b7fe9a56e5b3d88bd6578af327c1e06806f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.31
- Realized PnL
- -$9.21
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.07
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.84
- Potential profit
- $134.84
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.33
- Potential profit
- $99.33
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.05
- Potential profit
- $95.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.63
- Potential profit
- $39.63
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.07
- Potential profit
- $24.07
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.08
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.46
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.39
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.72
- Potential profit
- $16.72
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.88
- Potential profit
- $15.88
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Meta dip to $450 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.62
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $8.93
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.75
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $7.49
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $5.18
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Leviatan Esports position
LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C or below on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 96°F or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 23?Yes 5.7% 15.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 23?Yes 6% 15.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 23?Yes 45% 2.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 23?Yes 1% 94.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be 76°F or higher on April 23?No 1% 90.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23?Yes 4% 22.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 23?Yes 23% 4.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?Yes 42% 2.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 23?Yes 0.7% 127.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?Yes 48% 1.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?Yes 2.4% 37.6 shares