No position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357
- Potential profit
- $357
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
HODLOR-755
0x1b921cbe6e3ca53d0f3a4a46955a830c92f80a99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $88.02
- Realized PnL
- $2.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $211.71
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.04
No position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.27
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.19
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $55.17
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.04
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $45.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.18
Texans position
Texans vs. Chiefs
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $34.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.07
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.31
Yes position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 0.19 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 617.52 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 0.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97.4% 2,721.09 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 98.9% 1,180.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 0.12 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.5% 2,317.1 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 400 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 70% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 2,007.49 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 85.3% 2,100.4 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 97.7% 10 shares