Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Polymarket Trader
HansGALin
0x1ba7b224ab5ccdbb0f8cb3f2c1e9aacce4a6b19d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.49
- Realized PnL
- $6.27
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $137.13
- Potential profit
- $136.31
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $103.09
- Potential profit
- $93.14
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $61.54
- Potential profit
- $57.26
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $33.75
- Potential profit
- $33.41
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 9% 11.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 3% 33.75 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.7% 103.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 36% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 39% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETDown 39% 7.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETDown 1% 300 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes 0.7% 137.13 shares