Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Vugen
0x1bd26542df1a2389d920bd37fac3b1bea285a3b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.7
- Realized PnL
- $83.89
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.56
- Potential profit
- $33.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.16
- Potential profit
- $14.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $7.72
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.66
- Potential profit
- $10.66
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.77
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- User PnL
- -$3
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.96
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Y
Yes position
Norway leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Y
Yes position
Argentina leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes 77% 12.5 shares
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Panama vs. England: Draw at halftime?Yes 68% 5.88 shares
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Spain?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 55% 3.64 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 25+ times during Pennsylvania events?No 44% 11.36 shares
- Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?Yes 15% 6.67 shares