No position
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.01K
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $353.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $264.67
Polymarket Trader
Moribundus
0x1bdf96c53e8922cf09d310b146f3972bd3df1b74
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.46K
- Realized PnL
- $6.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.94K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $58.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $742.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $357.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $945
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.01
No position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $903.99
- Potential payout
- $940.18
- Potential profit
- $36.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $324
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $475.99
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$44
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $634.6
- Potential payout
- $686.05
- Potential profit
- $51.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $23.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.78
- Potential profit
- $577.78
- User PnL
- -$214
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $518.38
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $31.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $81.38
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $477.57
- Potential payout
- $524.8
- Potential profit
- $47.23
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $167.64
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $129.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $370.75
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$345.15
No position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $496.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- $27.34
No position
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $455.42
- Potential payout
- $464.71
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $46.47
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $402.05
- Potential payout
- $432.32
- Potential profit
- $30.26
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.14
- Potential profit
- $382.14
- User PnL
- -$53.5
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.51
- Potential profit
- $333.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.28
- Potential profit
- $320.28
- User PnL
- -$22.42
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $237.98
- Potential payout
- $281.64
- Potential profit
- $43.65
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $51.17
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $242.02
- Potential payout
- $253.56
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $487
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $312.5
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
No position
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.99
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.97
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.01
No position
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.2
No position
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.96
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 43.0 on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.51
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?Yes 98.8% 101.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?No 97.3% 102.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?Yes 84% 20 shares
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 82.6% 242.08 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 36% 277.78 shares
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?No 90.1% 110.95 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?No 96% 42.86 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No 94% 23.49 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No 94% 100 shares
- Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No 95.2% 87 shares
- Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No 94.6% 370 shares
- Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No 93.7% 130.37 shares