No position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $13.54K
- Potential payout
- $13.85K
- Potential profit
- $318.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $687.07
Polymarket Trader
4e2fbc2acf
0x1bfd792c102c75d3c41c954d058355a796ee40d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.78K
- Realized PnL
- $17.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $281.77
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$171.84
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $952
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $132.06
- Potential payout
- $140.49
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83K
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.74
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.52
No position
GTA VI released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.23
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.92
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.5
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.56
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.78
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.73
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.18
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.35
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.17
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.28
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.76
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.02
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 97.8% 45 shares
- Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No 98% 48.8 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 645 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 101 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.2% 858.03 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.7% 58.03 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.7% 961.49 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 98.7% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 98.5% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 98.5% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 98.5% 20 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 98.5% 20 shares