No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $3.59
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.77
Polymarket Trader
permune
0x1c05a542d2f00cbc0df01373f8d0580d61629a47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57
- Realized PnL
- -$8.41
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bruins position
Capitals vs. Bruins
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Spurs position
Pistons vs. Spurs
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Mavericks position
Hornets vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Thunder position
Rockets vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?No 78% 3.59 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?Yes 38% 3.92 shares
- Golden Knights vs. DucksGolden Knights 51% 1.96 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 68% 3.09 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?No 75% 1.35 shares
- Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?No 70% 1.94 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes 22% 8.68 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 67% 1.61 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?Yes 40% 4.6 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 30% 3.53 shares
- Nuggets vs. LakersNuggets 57% 5.04 shares