Polymarket Trader

DieterHanswurst

0x1c06e4a2c157c07872f9139a3f23806ed0d562e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $621.36
Realized PnL: $17.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$757.99

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$369.99

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $76.9
Potential payout: $415.69
Potential profit: $338.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.65
Potential profit: $248.65
User PnL: -$90.16

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $25.61
Potential payout: $246.22
Potential profit: $220.62
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.85
Potential profit: $222.85
User PnL: -$23.97

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.4%
Current value: $97.02
Potential payout: $150.65
Potential profit: $53.63
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $16.35

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$83.99

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.5
Potential profit: $145.5
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $83.63
Potential payout: $142.96
Potential profit: $59.33
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$15.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.59
Potential profit: $122.59
User PnL: -$44.22

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.7
Potential payout: $100.85
Potential profit: $77.15
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $4.18

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $60.03
Potential payout: $100.06
Potential profit: $40.02
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $95.1
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $41.26
Potential payout: $81.71
Potential profit: $40.45
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$7.36

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $26.74
Potential payout: $64.44
Potential profit: $37.7
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $11.63
Potential payout: $61.68
Potential profit: $50.05
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: -$4.54

No position

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $50.78
Potential profit: $35.29
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $46.76
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.3%
Multiplier: 2.55x
User PnL: $920.64

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.89

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $717.73

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $717.56

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $694.4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $690.22

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $645.78

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $644.02

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $641.08

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $637.05

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $634.58

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $494.97

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.04

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $483.61

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?

Ends Mar 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $471.01

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $451.13

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.79

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $408.93

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $404.9

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 34% 78.55 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 96% 250 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 89% 500 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 91% 500 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 90% 500 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

No 89.9% 40.78 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

No 80% 11.23 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

No 39% 1,000 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

No 15% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 88.6% 1,000 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 51% 490.2 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 95.8% 500 shares