Polymarket Trader

shadowmuse04

0x1c0be2d493370e325740e5400d7d069aa1fd3c10

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $10.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.09x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Another Trump x Putin talk in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 86.6%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 78.8%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 4.8% 35 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 88.4% 54 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 88.4% 54 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.4% 86 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.9% 86 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 11% 52 shares
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 1.9% 66.12 shares
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 1.9% 169 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.2% 50 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 93.9% 50 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 76.7% 62 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 16.1% 12 shares