Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.02K
- Potential payout
- $354.82K
- Potential profit
- $351.81K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $872.15
Polymarket Trader
bernardbulletin
@bernardbulletin
0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.7K
- Realized PnL
- $110.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $332.16K
- Potential profit
- $329.34K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$571.98
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $252.73K
- Potential profit
- $248.31K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $907.78
- Potential payout
- $106.8K
- Potential profit
- $105.89K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $256.74
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $4.34K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $95.66K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $452
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $6.69K
- Potential payout
- $93.76K
- Potential profit
- $87.06K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $15.38K
- Potential payout
- $41.91K
- Potential profit
- $26.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.72x
- User PnL
- $9.27K
Yes position
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.29
- Potential payout
- $12.58K
- Potential profit
- $12.57K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$203.44
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.46
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $46.39
- Potential payout
- $10.31K
- Potential profit
- $10.26K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $25.77
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.84K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $102.21
Yes position
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $9.02K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $21.62
- Potential payout
- $8.65K
- Potential profit
- $8.63K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $8.62K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $332.69
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $7.49K
- Potential profit
- $4.64K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$893.32
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $7.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $5.97K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$134.51
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $427.9
- Potential payout
- $5.19K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$64.01
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $63.96
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $517.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.48K
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- $392.5
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.2K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $21.56
No position
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- $14.52
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $612.36
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $180.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.92K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57K
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.57K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
Will Trump or Melania say "Chicago" at Chicago Opening Night?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
Yes position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 93% 5.07 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 92% 5.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.8% 10 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.3% 10 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Kobey Layne win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Steve Simon win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?No 99.8% 5 shares
- Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?No 97.4% 136.52 shares
- Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 97.2% 615.22 shares
- Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 99% 20 shares