No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
thrhdhj55
0x1c14cb0880b4752277270adc8044344aeb869e19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.43
- Realized PnL
- $21.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $11.58
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.27
- Potential profit
- $10.27
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7AM ET
Ends Sep 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Penguin Solutions (PENG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No 95% 11.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 93% 11.83 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 93% 11.83 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No 97% 10.31 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 90% 12.22 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 11.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 97.7% 11.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 97% 11.34 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?Yes 95% 7.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 97.6% 7.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 96.6% 7.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 97.5% 7.18 shares