Yes position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $233.17
- Potential profit
- $223.84
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Polymarket Trader
0x1C19253135FF4FCa4857541C94c2Ca4608E9601C-1768942022740
0x1c19253135ff4fca4857541c94c2ca4608e9601c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.22
- Realized PnL
- $30.51
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.3%
- Current value
- $110.89
- Potential payout
- $229.59
- Potential profit
- $118.7
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- $74.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.22
- Potential profit
- $34.22
- User PnL
- -$14.37
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18
- Potential profit
- $3.18
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 14.2% 28.17 shares
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Yes 7% 28.57 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 8.47 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 68.58 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 5.35 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 31.5% 28.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes 18.3% 81.98 shares
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?Yes 18% 117.68 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 25% 42.4 shares