Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
KaiserSosa
0x1c19e7f2c09b39d258307b50ebd47e247e890b39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.54
- Realized PnL
- $191.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.58
- Potential profit
- $274.58
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.27
- Potential profit
- $200.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $183.24
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $10.84
- Potential payout
- $180.73
- Potential profit
- $169.89
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.56
- Potential profit
- $110.56
- User PnL
- -$45.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $66.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Clemson win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.17
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- User PnL
- -$24.92
Yes position
US forces in Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $34.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.61
- Potential profit
- $22.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.36
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.16
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Trump trade deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp 37% 13.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown 46% 54.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp 27% 18.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 39% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETDown 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 6% 83.33 shares