No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.55
- Potential profit
- $530.55
- User PnL
- -$81.32
Polymarket Trader
5atka
0x1c266db0f8529b1f25b77123e9c0c918ac2f6e31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $78
- Realized PnL
- $4.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$28
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 21?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$18.9
No position
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$137.14
Yes position
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.16
- Potential profit
- $462.16
- User PnL
- -$55.46
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.49
- Potential profit
- $360.49
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.8
- Potential profit
- $349.8
- User PnL
- -$47.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.82
- Potential profit
- $320.82
- User PnL
- -$107.61
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.01
- Potential profit
- $304.01
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $222
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$74
Wes Mena position
Power Slap 18: Wes Mena vs. Zakir Naimabayev (Fight 5)
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$124.2
No position
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$56.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$22.85
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$136
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$73.83
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$49.48
No position
Will Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$16.2
No position
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.11
- Potential profit
- $299.11
- User PnL
- -$18.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.31
- Potential profit
- $294.31
- User PnL
- -$19.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.94
- Potential profit
- $278.94
- User PnL
- -$6.77
No position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.13
- Potential profit
- $278.13
- User PnL
- -$120.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.93
- Potential profit
- $266.93
- User PnL
- -$18.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.79
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.49
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.42
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.5
Yes position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.39
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.61
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.84
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.6
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.58
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.11
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.89
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.93
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.61
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.68
No position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
No position
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes 14% 29.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 82% 5 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 47% 9.27 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 6.12 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No 11% 60.1 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 79% 9.89 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 39% 45.14 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 12% 19.45 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No 36% 51.86 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?No 13% 19.44 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 39% 100 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?No 61% 10.35 shares