No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $104.73
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Polymarket Trader
xiaomaiTV
0x1c28aef385d5e9d3a10806153311149f3718fe96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $173.01
- Realized PnL
- $501.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $68.29
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama speak at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
No position
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.92
Yes position
Will Barack Obama speak at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Will $USDT depeg by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Brazil unban X before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Commanders position
Commanders vs. Giants
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Panthers position
Saints vs. Panthers
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Titans position
Patriots vs. Titans
Ends Nov 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by March 31?No 99.3% 22.57 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.9% 144.99 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.6% 22.41 shares
- US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?No 53% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No 99.7% 41.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.8% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No 99.7% 50 shares
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 3.1% 10 shares
- Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?Yes 4% 20 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.3% 40 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 40 shares