No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $500.09
- Potential payout
- $507.45
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Polymarket Trader
qiaoyu
0x1c299435a2e1f0d5402bb3b2609ebef4176e932a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.08K
- Realized PnL
- $367.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $349.83
- Potential payout
- $350.88
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $232.44
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.91
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.02
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.58
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.57
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.26
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $125 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 94.8% 240 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 507.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 94.8% 732.79 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 99% 350.88 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.2% 48.44 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No 98.6% 176 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 170 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 170 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No 98.2% 176 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 1,397 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,379.58 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No 99.9% 326.35 shares