No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $73.08
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $696.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$126.92
Polymarket Trader
0x1C30a3f7d891BC06441c6531954438917c9cB668-1780268562537
0x1c30a3f7d891bc06441c6531954438917c9cb668
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.3
- Realized PnL
- $26.54
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.22
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.47
- Potential profit
- $18.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.91
- Potential payout
- $17.93
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $7.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $17.38
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.11
- Potential profit
- $13.11
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $12.95
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.94
- Potential profit
- $12.94
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.38
- Potential profit
- $12.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?Yes 60% 4.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?No 57.5% 17.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?Yes 64.7% 7.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 18?Yes 36% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 18?Yes 37% 10.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?Yes 38.6% 12.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?Yes 26% 19.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 18?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17?Yes 48.6% 5.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 17?Yes 34% 5.88 shares