No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $629.72
- Potential payout
- $666.37
- Potential profit
- $36.65
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.72
Polymarket Trader
dontmesswithtexas
0x1c3a045f65c09aeb43c34a05011949854705c9cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.45K
- Realized PnL
- $611.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $517.51
- Potential payout
- $541.61
- Potential profit
- $24.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.51
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $302.27
- Potential payout
- $310.81
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $128.21
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.57
- Potential profit
- $82.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.5
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.56
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.99
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.23
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 90% 666.37 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 96.5% 310.81 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 92.3% 541.61 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No 90% 236.45 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 99.8% 313.57 shares
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?No 89% 1,182.3 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 98.4% 104.52 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 97.5% 139.36 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 85% 195.86 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 79.3% 816.08 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 74% 893.72 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 74% 675.68 shares