Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $6.45K
- Potential payout
- $130.26K
- Potential profit
- $123.81K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $308.46
Polymarket Trader
frenchlaundry
0x1c3cdc2caa24eeb9434100f82ac32c22a26b1b01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.45K
- Realized PnL
- $302.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$3.83K
No position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$4.45K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.16K
- Potential profit
- $10.16K
- User PnL
- -$121.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.67K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.32K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.88K
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54K
No position
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26K
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46K
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Kamala position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Israel" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.18
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "abortion" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $850
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.3% 75,120.22 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.2% 100.81 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 61% 1,962.22 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 60.5% 6,605.21 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 58% 2,140.82 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 56% 8,585.31 shares
- Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?No 30% 6,584.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 46% 1,606.7 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.7% 20 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 66% 176.75 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 64% 2,174.8 shares