310

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $61.89
Potential profit: $59.32
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$15.43

No position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $2.74
Potential payout: $22.86
Potential profit: $20.12
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$8.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.92
Potential profit: $13.92
User PnL: -$8.9

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $8.14
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.79
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$2.38

No position

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $5.12
User PnL: -$1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13
Potential profit: $4.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.3
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Trump attend UFC 327?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET