Polymarket Trader

maxiwere46

0x1c4be3ebeea17860324b3adc4af0c70ff8dfff11

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $47.79
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.91
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.45
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.53

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.15
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: -$0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$3

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $1.16
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.29

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$0.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 31% 6.45 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 46% 10.87 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 86.2% 4.44 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Yes 39.6% 7.58 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

No 3.2% 9.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 78% 2.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 48% 2.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 99% 5.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Up 98% 5.1 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 17.7% 17.24 shares