Polymarket Trader

dajunshishui

0x1c4f9fef7372795bbebf7e3283ce8d221c16e321

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205.34
Realized PnL: $1.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $271.21
Potential profit: $270.53
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$15.59

No position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $35.4
Potential payout: $157.35
Potential profit: $121.95
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$10.23

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $89.81
Potential payout: $101.48
Potential profit: $11.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $63.91
Potential profit: $57.36
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$17.74

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $53.22
Potential payout: $62.24
Potential profit: $9.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $54.07
Potential profit: $47.85
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $50.8
Potential profit: $38.86
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $49.4
Potential profit: $47.87
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$4.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.45

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?

Yes 52% 37.68 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 74% 45.02 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 36% 15.7 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 87% 200 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 107.14 shares
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 12.1% 66 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 85% 5.88 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 106.5 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 84% 20 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Yes 22% 5.12 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 84.2% 50 shares