Polymarket Trader

0x1c649ccc109D36C821F3F5a7341C109D3b1f4255-1768772541587

0x1c649ccc109d36c821f3f5a7341c109d3b1f4255

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $748.44
Realized PnL: $6.71K
Win rate: 88.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $748.44
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: -$118.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$251

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.9

No position

Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $785.62

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.07

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.2%
Multiplier: 2.43x
User PnL: $222.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $109.12

No position

Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.49

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.47

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.32

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$12.85

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$643.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 19.3% 345.13 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 18.9% 3,703.37 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 18.9% 529.1 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41.9% 1,057.41 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.3% 1,080.35 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.1% 1,117.57 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 606.55 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7% 653.72 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 653.73 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 606.56 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 97.09 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 44.64 shares