Polymarket Trader

reilly-ut517

0x1c68b8cc0053a9634727d423186c72e654f57ab8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $5.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Bitcoin all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 73% 1.49 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 74% 1.49 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 65% 1.58 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 70% 1.57 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 66% 2.16 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 51% 2.16 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 74% 1.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 73% 1.51 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 29% 2.03 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

$80k 54% 2.04 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 76% 1.46 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 61% 1.48 shares