Polymarket Trader

aestcon

@aestcon

0x1c809087edf913cd79b0ab96faa76449df391c3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $25.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $9.8K
User PnL: -$8.04K

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $5.49K
User PnL: -$3.76K

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $3.25K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$10

Youssef Zalal position

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$1.52K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$979.13

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$1.28K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$1K

Moreno position

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Max Holloway position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$73.14

Yes position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$40.5

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$45.8

No position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$776

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$66

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$286

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$380

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892.87
Potential profit: $892.87
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Bills position

Chiefs vs. Bills

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Blue Jays position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Bautista position

UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Benn position

Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.97

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $932.7

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850

Gabriel Bonfim position

UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.6

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Buccaneers

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $690.48

Yes position

Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685.03

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.01

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.11

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $591.39

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $565.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 38% 2,792.11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 41% 1,219.51 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 56.9% 878.89 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 36% 694.44 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 6% 1,100 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 3,000 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 57% 3,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 62% 2.63 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 60.6% 660.57 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 19% 1,900 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 52% 2,500 shares