Polymarket Trader

Mario1909

0x1c81674cc4d1baf3c6ee60089ac54456a225a2de

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.3
Realized PnL: $138.12
Win rate: 30%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

France to score first vs. Spain?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

No position

US bank failure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.46
Potential profit: $261.46
User PnL: -$67

No position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?

Ends Sep 14, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50.84
Potential profit: $47.58
Multiplier: 15.63x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.39

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.21

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.12

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.96

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.4

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 3.7% 266.67 shares
France to score first vs. Spain?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

No 13% 43.7 shares
Will Karolina Wydra – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?

Yes 9.8% 50.84 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?

No 48% 20.83 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

No 22.9% 43.71 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 67.8% 73.52 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 3.5% 85 shares
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 68% 73.53 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 3.7% 26.67 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 41% 17.07 shares